Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.385582 3.786961 4.221998 4.729360 5.305846 5.941678 6.697681
2024-11-03 2.820155 3.356926 3.980373 4.761121 5.717047 6.854810 8.319714
2024-11-10 2.503017 3.122629 3.881124 4.884544 6.186885 7.833283 10.093228
2024-11-17 2.240993 2.903019 3.748509 4.918157 6.510968 8.628291 11.696006
2024-11-24 2.037840 2.725699 3.636541 4.946073 6.805436 9.388457 13.314693
2024-12-01 1.871681 2.574749 3.535871 4.965765 7.073343 10.119987 14.957774
2024-12-08 1.692583 2.385496 3.359239 4.851764 7.125067 10.528992 16.149120
2024-12-15 1.566081 2.257615 3.254812 4.826765 7.296602 11.120951 17.676404
2024-12-22 1.450583 2.134618 3.144541 4.778165 7.419755 11.639829 19.132622
2024-12-29 1.408283 2.116729 3.188456 4.969079 7.936051 12.834000 21.860264
2025-01-05 1.326046 2.030020 3.117725 4.967633 8.132319 13.510285 23.755139
2025-01-12 1.246908 1.941675 3.036491 4.939668 8.277156 14.106398 25.567035
2025-01-19 1.124184 1.776680 2.822656 4.676055 7.997778 13.941658 25.960178
2025-01-26 1.065966 1.713076 2.770736 4.686043 8.205137 14.679656 28.202453
2025-02-02 1.032257 1.687463 2.779828 4.802723 8.616232 15.838035 31.442133
2025-02-09 0.986746 1.638260 2.744271 4.834749 8.869800 16.717780 34.218535
2025-02-16 0.944247 1.591083 2.708316 4.861936 9.114744 17.603367 37.125763
2025-02-23 0.903938 1.544849 2.670324 4.881211 9.344257 18.479237 40.130463
2025-03-02 0.847787 1.466557 2.568716 4.769367 9.297216 18.769680 41.820343
2025-03-09 0.808332 1.415946 2.514304 4.744840 9.426387 19.447495 44.520456
2025-03-16 0.768717 1.362542 2.450999 4.697160 9.501452 20.012748 47.023106
2025-03-23 0.761547 1.369134 2.501629 4.884452 10.099413 21.817965 52.933404
2025-03-30 0.731678 1.330772 2.462845 4.883033 10.280997 22.682109 56.521747